Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.001250 0.001404 0.001559 0.001724 0.001896 0.002069 0.002256
2025-11-09 0.001010 0.001234 0.001464 0.001717 0.001985 0.002260 0.002561
2025-11-16 0.000826 0.001100 0.001391 0.001718 0.002070 0.002437 0.002843
2025-11-23 0.000675 0.000988 0.001329 0.001720 0.002150 0.002601 0.003108
2025-11-30 0.000587 0.000937 0.001328 0.001783 0.002290 0.002827 0.003433
2025-12-07 0.000473 0.000843 0.001270 0.001778 0.002350 0.002962 0.003659
2025-12-14 0.000360 0.000738 0.001192 0.001742 0.002371 0.003051 0.003829
2025-12-21 0.000298 0.000691 0.001176 0.001775 0.002466 0.003217 0.004082
2025-12-28 0.000216 0.000605 0.001109 0.001744 0.002484 0.003296 0.004236
2026-01-04 0.000162 0.000552 0.001077 0.001749 0.002542 0.003417 0.004433
2026-01-11 0.000109 0.000489 0.001029 0.001733 0.002572 0.003504 0.004592
2026-01-18 0.000070 0.000440 0.000993 0.001729 0.002614 0.003603 0.004762
2026-01-25 0.000025 0.000367 0.000934 0.001713 0.002662 0.003732 0.004992
2026-02-01 0.000001 0.000303 0.000884 0.001705 0.002721 0.003874 0.005240
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000250 0.000842 0.001706 0.002789 0.004027 0.005500
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000202 0.000803 0.001709 0.002858 0.004180 0.005760
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000185 0.000811 0.001772 0.002999 0.004416 0.006113
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000143 0.000770 0.001766 0.003055 0.004553 0.006352
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000097 0.000709 0.001731 0.003071 0.004641 0.006535
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000078 0.000699 0.001763 0.003171 0.004826 0.006827
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000045 0.000646 0.001732 0.003189 0.004912 0.007004
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000027 0.000620 0.001737 0.003252 0.005051 0.007240
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000010 0.000581 0.001721 0.003285 0.005154 0.007434